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Projected Outcome

UK General Election 2024: Results and Analysis

Projected Outcome

Based on current polling weighted by recency and historic pollster accuracy, a projection of the UK's General Election results if it were held today shows a likely victory for the Conservative Party.

Key Points

  • The Conservatives are projected to win the most seats in Parliament (364), followed by Labour (224), Liberal Democrats (54), SNP (51), and other parties (9).
  • The Speaker of the House of Commons, who is traditionally non-partisan, is projected to keep his seat as a Conservative MP.
  • The results of the poll reflect a slight shift towards the center, with the Liberal Democrats and the Scottish National Party making gains.


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